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試卷:112年 - SOCIETY OF ACTUARIES_EXAM P PROBABILITY_EXAM P SAMPLE QUESTIONS 1-50#119899 | 科目:Exam P:Probability機率

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試卷名稱:112年 - SOCIETY OF ACTUARIES_EXAM P PROBABILITY_EXAM P SAMPLE QUESTIONS 1-50#119899

年份:112年

科目:Exam P:Probability機率

20. Upon arrival at a hospital’s emergency room, patients are categorized according to their condition as critical, serious, or stable. In the past year:
(i) 10% of the emergency room patients were critical;
(ii) 30% of the emergency room patients were serious;
(iii) the rest of the emergency room patients were stable;
(iv) 40% of the critical patients died;
(vi) 10% of the serious patients died; and
(vii) 1% of the stable patients died.
Given that a patient survived, calculate the probability that the patient was categorized as serious upon arrival.
(A) 0.06
(B) 0.29
(C) 0.30
(D) 0.39
(E) 0.64
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